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V-Lab

Chemung Financial Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

56.56%

increased by 28.45%

1 Week

55.14%

increased by 27.03%

1 Month

50.58%

increased by 22.47%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chemung Financial Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 17, 1996 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2120
20.52***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1460
16.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8149
152.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0069
-0.44

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days