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V-Lab

Chemung Financial Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

32.90%

increased by 3.20%

1 Week

33.11%

increased by 3.41%

1 Month

33.85%

increased by 4.15%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chemung Financial Corp AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 18, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0939
18.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1197
25.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8681
248.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0065
-0.71

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days