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V-Lab

Chemung Financial Corp EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

24.73%

decreased by 2.00%

1 Week

26.19%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Month

30.64%

increased by 3.91%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Chemung Financial Corp EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 17, 1996 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1181
25.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2992
40.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9343
306.21***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0009
-0.09

Persistence:

0.934

Half-life:

10 days