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V-Lab

Chemung Financial Corp MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026

1 Day

29.79%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Week

30.13%

increased by 0.07%

1 Month

31.33%

increased by 1.27%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Chemung Financial Corp MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 18, 1996 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 47 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 47 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0922
13.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1158
30.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8696
254.19***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

47 days