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V-Lab

BlockFin Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

79.83%

decreased by 1.61%

1 Week

84.52%

increased by 3.08%

1 Month

96.39%

increased by 14.95%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 06:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of BlockFin Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1320
14.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8189
60.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0112
-0.83
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0119
1.79*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0162
5.08***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9838
257.07***

Persistence:

0.945

Half-life:

12 days