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V-Lab

BlockFin Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

101.57%

decreased by 5.63%

1 Week

102.84%

decreased by 4.36%

1 Month

107.49%

increased by 0.29%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 09:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of BlockFin Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Sep 18, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.1340
3.86***
βGARCH0.8168
18.42***
γleverage-0.0132
-0.22
λ₁tau intercept0.0121
0.48
λ₂forecast adj.0.0164
1.54
λ₃tau persistence0.9836
81.33***

0.944

Persistence

12d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1340
3.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8168
18.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0132
-0.22
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0121
0.48
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0164
1.54
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9836
81.33***

Persistence:

0.944

Half-life:

12 days