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V-Lab

Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

20.10%

increased by 0.31%

1 Week

20.91%

increased by 1.12%

1 Month

22.96%

increased by 3.17%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 27, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 23% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

61
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1097
30.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8226
119.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0203
-3.65***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0282
3.82***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0454
4.41***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9494
80.57***

Persistence:

0.922

Half-life:

9 days