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V-Lab

Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

24.26%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

24.67%

increased by 0.30%

1 Month

26.19%

increased by 1.82%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 27, 1993 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 171 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0491
18.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0699
18.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9234
509.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0053
0.72

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

171 days