V-Lab
Hu Group Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
27.90%
decreased by 0.72%
1 Week
28.84%
increased by 0.22%
1 Month
30.36%
increased by 1.74%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:01 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 63% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0980 | 17.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7109 | 59.44*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0615 | 8.54*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0170 | 1.95* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0137 | 4.08*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9823 | 217.99*** |
Persistence:
0.840
Half-life:
4 days
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