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V-Lab

Hu Group Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

27.90%

decreased by 0.72%

1 Week

28.84%

increased by 0.22%

1 Month

30.36%

increased by 1.74%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 12:01 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hu Group Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 63% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0980
17.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7109
59.44***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0615
8.54***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0170
1.95*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0137
4.08***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9823
217.99***

Persistence:

0.840

Half-life:

4 days