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V-Lab

Hu Group Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

24.78%

decreased by 0.14%

1 Week

26.41%

increased by 1.49%

1 Month

28.74%

increased by 3.82%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:38 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hu Group Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 64% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0974
17.45***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7113
59.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0627
8.68***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0170
1.95*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0137
4.08***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9823
218.04***

Persistence:

0.840

Half-life:

4 days