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V-Lab

Hu Group Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

28.04%

decreased by 0.64%

1 Week

28.72%

increased by 0.04%

1 Month

29.98%

increased by 1.30%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 07:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hu Group Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 64% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0979
17.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7106
59.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0623
8.62***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0171
1.95*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0137
4.09***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9823
217.94***

Persistence:

0.840

Half-life:

4 days