V-Lab
Hu Group Holdings Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
24.78%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Week
26.41%
increased by 1.49%
1 Month
28.74%
increased by 3.82%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 02:38 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 64% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0974 | 17.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7113 | 59.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0627 | 8.68*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0170 | 1.95* |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0137 | 4.08*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9823 | 218.04*** |
Persistence:
0.840
Half-life:
4 days
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