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Hu Group Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

26.25%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Week

26.51%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Month

27.46%

increased by 0.41%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 01:32 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Hu Group Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 64 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 64 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.79 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.2779
4.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0585
41.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9892
397.74***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.7872
14.86***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days