V-Lab
Hu Group Holdings Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
28.94%
increased by 0.55%
1 Week
29.35%
increased by 0.96%
1 Month
30.73%
increased by 2.34%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 07:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 19, 1992 to Aug 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 30 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 30 days.
μ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1405 | 18.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1434 | 47.00*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8255 | 254.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0109 | -1.59 |
δ power Transformation power | 2.1447 | 40.80*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
30 days
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