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Mondelez International Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

23.57

decreased by 1.18

1 Week

25.89

increased by 1.14

1 Month

28.28

increased by 3.53

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 183 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1878
8.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0672
13.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9290
183.17***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0015
-0.95

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

183 days