V-Lab
Mondelez International Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
23.12
decreased by 1.49
1 Week
24.80
increased by 0.19
1 Month
26.04
increased by 1.43
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 183 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1908 | 8.13*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0669 | 13.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9294 | 183.92*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0015 | -0.92 |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
183 days
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