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Mondelez International Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

20.32

decreased by 0.39

1 Week

19.38

decreased by 1.33

1 Month

18.30

decreased by 2.41

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 12:27 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 181 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~181 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1902
8.12***
αARCH0.0671
14.07***
βGARCH0.9291
184.53***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0015
-0.99

0.996

Persistence

181d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1902
8.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0671
14.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9291
184.53***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0015
-0.99

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

181 days