Mondelez International Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
29.66
decreased by 1.93
1 Week
30.78
decreased by 0.81
1 Month
26.05
decreased by 5.54
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 185 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1926 | 8.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0674 | 13.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9289 | 182.74*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0013 | -0.81 |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
185 days
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