V-Lab
Mondelez International Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
23.57
decreased by 1.18
1 Week
25.89
increased by 1.14
1 Month
28.28
increased by 3.53
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 183 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1878 | 8.11*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0672 | 13.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9290 | 183.17*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0015 | -0.95 |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
183 days
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