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Mondelez International Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

20.69

increased by 1.87

1 Week

18.88

increased by 0.06

1 Month

18.46

decreased by 0.36

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 180 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~180 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1878
8.10***
αARCH0.0672
14.07***
βGARCH0.9289
184.13***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0016
-1.05

0.996

Persistence

180d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1878
8.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0672
14.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9289
184.13***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0016
-1.05

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

180 days