Mondelez International Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
31.25
1 Week
31.48
1 Month
27.81
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0677 | 13.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9235 | 562.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0677 | -4.67*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0073 | 32.90*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9987 | 980.08*** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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