V-Lab
Mondelez International Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
23.83
1 Week
26.15
1 Month
28.62
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0674 | 14.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9237 | 561.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0674 | -4.77*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0076 | 35.07*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9987 | 1,020.14*** |
Persistence:
0.957
Half-life:
16 days
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