V-Lab
Ryojbaba Co Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
186,053.80
1 Week
427,015.72
1 Month
564,203.59
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 14, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 78% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.6437 | 24.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.03 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 9.48*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0007 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.7743 | 21.38*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.67 |
Persistence:
0.894
Half-life:
6 days
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