V-Lab
RTX Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
13.17
1 Week
12.13
1 Month
11.79
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0583 | 1.44 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8927 | 37.22*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0583 | -0.55 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0233 | 4.10*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0661 | 1.91* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9319 | 11.47*** |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
9 days
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