V-Lab
RTX Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
13.42
1 Week
13.95
1 Month
14.84
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 10:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 61 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0585 | 1.44 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8924 | 36.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0585 | -0.55 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0260 | 4.31*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0652 | 1.92* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9328 | 11.68*** |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
8 days
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