V-Lab
Hyperscale Data Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
30,092.15
1 Week
37,321.92
1 Month
19,818.72
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 17, 1996 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2217 | 24.66*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8045 | 111.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2217 | -20.05*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 2.13** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1321 | 2.49** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 3.33*** |
Persistence:
0.915
Half-life:
8 days
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