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Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

2,507.70

decreased by 483.70

1 Week

3,386.12

increased by 394.72

1 Month

6,488.66

increased by 3,497.26

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 09:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 16, 2012 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 111 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1960
20.81***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8103
103.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0250
-3.13***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

4.3246
0.66
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9983
206.51***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

111 days