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Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

9,767.64

decreased by 555.23

1 Week

10,431.03

increased by 108.16

1 Month

8,439.26

decreased by 1,883.61

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 09:17 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 16, 2012 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 114 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1936
9.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8129
229.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0253
-0.73
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.7761
53.64***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9982
1,236.91***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

114 days