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Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

3,759.49

decreased by 669.75

1 Week

5,424.03

increased by 994.79

1 Month

8,469.08

increased by 4,039.84

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:13 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 16, 2012 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 113 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1942
9.35***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8123
230.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0251
-0.72
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.2720
54.84***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9982
1,240.01***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

113 days