{name} Model Equation

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	126
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1930	9.32***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8133	229.36***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0248	-0.72
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	5.5132	55.39***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0000	0.01
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9982	1,238.46***

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