Pasqal Holding SA ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
10,815.86
1 Week
10,327.93
1 Month
9,287.20
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2026 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 41 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | |
| βGARCH | 0.3872 | |
| γleverage | 0.0000 | |
| λ₁tau intercept | 10.0000 | |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.4378 | |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.5622 |
0.387
Persistence1d
Half-lifeILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.3872 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.4378 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5622 |
Persistence:
0.387
Half-life:
1 days
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