V-Lab
American Resources Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
11,334.10
1 Week
10,841.29
1 Month
9,274.31
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 09:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 20, 2017 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2107 | 3.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8021 | 281.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2107 | -0.71 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 8.08*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9253 | 60.10*** |
Persistence:
0.907
Half-life:
7 days
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