V-Lab
American Resources Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 21st, 2026
1 Day
7,114.52
1 Week
7,166.72
1 Month
8,458.41
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 20, 2017 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2122 | 3.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8001 | 282.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2122 | -0.73 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 8.13*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9249 | 60.38*** |
Persistence:
0.906
Half-life:
7 days
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