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Johnson & Johnson ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

6.06

increased by 0.47

1 Week

5.58

decreased by 0.01

1 Month

5.25

decreased by 0.34

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 01:51 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Johnson & Johnson ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0579
10.38***
βGARCH0.8872
63.40***
γleverage-0.0579
-1.34
λ₁tau intercept0.0066
1.80*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0316
3.83***
λ₃tau persistence0.9672
117.63***

0.916

Persistence

8d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0579
10.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8872
63.40***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0579
-1.34
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0066
1.80*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0316
3.83***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9672
117.63***

Persistence:

0.916

Half-life:

8 days