V-Lab
Johnson & Johnson ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
6.55
1 Week
6.95
1 Month
7.23
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0576 | 1.58 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8889 | 26.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0576 | -0.53 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0068 | 6.01*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0317 | 3.00*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9671 | 31.65*** |
Persistence:
0.918
Half-life:
8 days
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