V-Lab
Johnson & Johnson ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
6.80
1 Week
6.10
1 Month
6.27
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 18, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0573 | 1.58 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8890 | 26.35*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0573 | -0.53 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0066 | 5.97*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0316 | 3.04*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9672 | 31.94*** |
Persistence:
0.918
Half-life:
8 days
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