Johnson & Johnson ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Thursday, July 9th, 2026
1 Day
7.83
1 Week
7.50
1 Month
6.47
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 12:07 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 2, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0575 | 1.59 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8889 | 26.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0575 | -0.53 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0066 | 5.85*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0315 | 3.03*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9673 | 32.00*** |
Persistence:
0.918
Half-life:
8 days
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