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Merck & Co Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

10.15

decreased by 0.24

1 Week

10.23

decreased by 0.16

1 Month

11.92

increased by 1.53

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Merck & Co Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0438
22.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9486
737.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0438
-6.09***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0011
15.96***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.02
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9994
1,521.22***

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

23 days