V-Lab
Haoxi Health Technology Ltd ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
210,292.80
1 Week
260,088.84
1 Month
206,096.44
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 4, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 26, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3124 | 0.80 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8438 | 88.34*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3124 | -0.42 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 1.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.3386 | 0.92 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0650 | 0.31 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1386294 days
Other Haoxi Health Technology Ltd Analyses
Other ILLIQ-MFMEM Analyses on Equities