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Haoxi Health Technology Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

397,194.80

increased by 114,775.20

1 Week

221,825.74

decreased by 60,593.86

1 Month

182,739.95

decreased by 99,679.65

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 09:19 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Haoxi Health Technology Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 26, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 173286 trading days (~687.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~173286 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.5566
0.01
αARCH0.2507
0.00
βGARCH0.7493
0.00
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-14.3951
0.00
γ252.4133
0.00
γ3-60.2518
0.00
γ47.5222
0.00

1.000

Persistence

173286d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5566
0.01
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2507
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7493
0.00
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=4
γ1-14.3951
0.00
γ252.4133
0.00
γ3-60.2518
0.00
γ47.5222
0.00

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

173286 days