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Haoxi Health Technology Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

128,288.50

decreased by 10,065.20

1 Week

157,644.10

increased by 19,290.40

1 Month

214,515.43

increased by 76,161.73

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Haoxi Health Technology Ltd ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 26, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7281
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2198
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7802
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-12.0125
γ228.8960
γ36.5003
γ4-51.3446
γ515.6623

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

693147 days