V-Lab
Haoxi Health Technology Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
128,288.50
decreased by 10,065.20
1 Week
157,644.10
increased by 19,290.40
1 Month
214,515.43
increased by 76,161.73
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 26, 2024 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 693147 trading days (~2750.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7281 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2198 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7802 |
Spline Coefficients
K=5
| γ1 | -12.0125 | |
| γ2 | 28.8960 | |
| γ3 | 6.5003 | |
| γ4 | -51.3446 | |
| γ5 | 15.6623 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
693147 days
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