V-Lab
Haoxi Health Technology Ltd Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
272,856.60
decreased by 32,025.90
1 Week
271,291.26
decreased by 33,591.24
1 Month
314,059.60
increased by 9,177.10
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 02:29 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 26, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 115524 trading days (~458.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~115524 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9178 | 0.14 |
| αARCH | 0.3300 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.6699 | 0.01 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -2.9145 | -0.56 |
1.000
Persistence115524d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9178 | 0.14 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3300 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6699 | 0.01 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -2.9145 | -0.56 |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
115524 days
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