V-Lab
Boeing Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
14.09
decreased by 0.25
1 Week
14.40
increased by 0.06
1 Month
13.40
decreased by 0.94
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 616 trading days (~2.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0368 | 9.74*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0610 | 15.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9379 | 237.61*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0037 | -2.85*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
616 days
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