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Walt Disney Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

13.71

decreased by 0.06

1 Week

13.29

decreased by 0.48

1 Month

14.30

increased by 0.53

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:31 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 814 trading days (~3.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~814 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1700
7.69***
αARCH0.0532
14.55***
βGARCH0.9459
257.19***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0026
-1.68*

0.999

Persistence

814d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1700
7.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0532
14.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9459
257.19***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0026
-1.68*

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

814 days