Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Walt Disney Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

14.46

decreased by 0.31

1 Week

14.61

decreased by 0.16

1 Month

14.54

decreased by 0.23

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 821 trading days (~3.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~821 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1695
7.68***
αARCH0.0533
14.55***
βGARCH0.9458
256.88***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0025
-1.67*

0.999

Persistence

821d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1695
7.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0533
14.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9458
256.88***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0025
-1.67*

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

821 days