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Walt Disney Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

12.03

decreased by 0.65

1 Week

12.48

decreased by 0.20

1 Month

11.54

decreased by 1.14

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 765 trading days (~3.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1716
7.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0534
14.46***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9457
254.85***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0027
-1.77*

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

765 days