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Walt Disney Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

12.59

increased by 0.54

1 Week

12.34

increased by 0.29

1 Month

11.83

decreased by 0.22

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 790 trading days (~3.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~790 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1712
7.71***
αARCH0.0530
14.54***
βGARCH0.9461
257.93***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0026
-1.74*

0.999

Persistence

790d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1712
7.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0530
14.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9461
257.93***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0026
-1.74*

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

790 days