V-Lab
Walt Disney Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
14.76
decreased by 0.39
1 Week
15.14
decreased by 0.01
1 Month
13.28
decreased by 1.87
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 823 trading days (~3.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1693 | 7.68*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0533 | 14.53*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9458 | 256.60*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0025 | -1.66* |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
823 days
Other Walt Disney Co/The Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities