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Walt Disney Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

12.71

increased by 0.61

1 Week

12.37

increased by 0.27

1 Month

12.18

increased by 0.08

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 760 trading days (~3.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1721
7.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0533
14.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9458
256.04***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0027
-1.85*

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

760 days