V-Lab
Walt Disney Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
12.71
increased by 0.61
1 Week
12.37
increased by 0.27
1 Month
12.18
increased by 0.08
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 760 trading days (~3.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1721 | 7.70*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0533 | 14.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9458 | 256.04*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0027 | -1.85* |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
760 days
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