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Walt Disney Co/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

12.29

decreased by 0.40

1 Week

12.16

decreased by 0.53

1 Month

12.94

increased by 0.25

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Walt Disney Co/The ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1604 trading days (~6.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 236% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0244
4.41***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0204
19.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9552
1,213.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0480
26.52***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1604 days