V-Lab
Walt Disney Co/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
13.83
decreased by 0.22
1 Week
13.47
decreased by 0.58
1 Month
12.89
decreased by 1.16
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 09:46 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1623 trading days (~6.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 232% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0249 | 1.13 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0206 | 4.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9551 | 303.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0478 | 6.58*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1623 days
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