V-Lab
Walt Disney Co/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
12.29
decreased by 0.40
1 Week
12.16
decreased by 0.53
1 Month
12.94
increased by 0.25
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1604 trading days (~6.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 236% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0244 | 4.41*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0204 | 19.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9552 | 1,213.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0480 | 26.52*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1604 days
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