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Walt Disney Co/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026

1 Day

11.52

decreased by 0.02

1 Week

11.72

increased by 0.18

1 Month

11.85

increased by 0.31

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 2, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/02/2024

to

11/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1580 trading days (~6.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 236% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1580 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 236% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0246
1.11
αARCH0.0203
4.95***
βGARCH0.9554
305.23***
γleverage0.0478
6.62***

1.000

Persistence

1580d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0246
1.11
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0203
4.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9554
305.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0478
6.62***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1580 days