Walt Disney Co/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
14.84
decreased by 0.41
1 Week
14.46
decreased by 0.79
1 Month
14.81
decreased by 0.44
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1623 trading days (~6.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 236% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0243 | 4.46*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0204 | 19.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9550 | 1,211.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0482 | 26.52*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1623 days
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