Walt Disney Co/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026
1 Day
11.52
decreased by 0.02
1 Week
11.72
increased by 0.18
1 Month
11.85
increased by 0.31
Analysis last updated: Monday, November 2, 2026 at 10:29 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1580 trading days (~6.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 236% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1580 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 236% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0246 | 1.11 |
| αARCH | 0.0203 | 4.95*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9554 | 305.23*** |
| γleverage | 0.0478 | 6.62*** |
1.000
Persistence1580d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0246 | 1.11 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0203 | 4.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9554 | 305.23*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0478 | 6.62*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
1580 days
Other Walt Disney Co/The Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities