V-Lab
ExxonMobil Holdings Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
5.65
decreased by 0.18
1 Week
5.65
decreased by 0.18
1 Month
5.66
decreased by 0.17
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 915 trading days (~3.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 162% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0187 | 1.57 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0194 | 4.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9642 | 338.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0314 | 4.78*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
915 days
Other ExxonMobil Holdings Corp Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities