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Mondelez International Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

18.73

increased by 0.49

1 Week

18.74

increased by 0.50

1 Month

22.83

increased by 4.59

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 10:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 392 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 74% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~392 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 74% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1347
2.42**
αARCH0.0486
6.74***
βGARCH0.9316
202.04***
γleverage0.0360
2.63***

0.998

Persistence

392d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1347
2.42**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0486
6.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9316
202.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0360
2.63***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

392 days