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Mondelez International Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

28.77

increased by 0.07

1 Week

29.24

increased by 0.54

1 Month

24.01

decreased by 4.69

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 382 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 73% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~382 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 73% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1399
2.50**
αARCH0.0488
6.76***
βGARCH0.9315
202.20***
γleverage0.0357
2.62***

0.998

Persistence

382d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1399
2.50**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0488
6.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9315
202.20***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0357
2.62***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

382 days