Mondelez International Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
32.38
increased by 0.23
1 Week
32.45
increased by 0.30
1 Month
28.83
decreased by 3.32
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 389 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 75% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1329 | 9.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0485 | 26.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9315 | 804.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0364 | 10.62*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
389 days
Other Mondelez International Inc Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities