V-Lab
News Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
155.87
decreased by 5.91
1 Week
159.69
decreased by 2.09
1 Month
143.27
decreased by 18.51
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 19, 2013 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 252 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 184% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9386 | 5.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0245 | 10.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9502 | 592.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0451 | 9.48*** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
252 days
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