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V-Lab

News Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

116.76

decreased by 1.14

1 Week

121.53

increased by 3.63

1 Month

142.53

increased by 24.63

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 09:36 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of News Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2013 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 271 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 199% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.8674
1.28
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0230
2.51**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9515
153.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0459
2.47**

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

271 days