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Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

9.52

decreased by 0.30

1 Week

10.19

increased by 0.37

1 Month

9.88

increased by 0.06

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 1999 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 239 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 242% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0771
10.47***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0202
15.36***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9524
976.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0489
19.98***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

239 days