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Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

11.02

increased by 0.30

1 Week

10.68

decreased by 0.04

1 Month

9.64

decreased by 1.08

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 4, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 233 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 242% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0770
10.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0202
15.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9523
973.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0490
19.67***

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

233 days