How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	66
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0529	3.98***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9229	284.83***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.0529	-1.36
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0425	26.05***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.1018	6.18***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.8927	16.96***

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Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Illiquidity Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Goldman Sachs Group Inc/The Analyses