V-Lab
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
21.23
1 Week
20.59
1 Month
23.15
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0665 | 1.50 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8597 | 22.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0665 | -0.56 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0130 | 2.48** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0295 | 4.25*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9698 | 62.93*** |
Persistence:
0.893
Half-life:
6 days
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