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V-Lab

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

23.11

increased by 1.88

1 Week

21.88

increased by 0.65

1 Month

22.70

increased by 1.47

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bristol-Myers Squibb Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 450 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~450 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0378
9.55***
αARCH0.0471
13.55***
βGARCH0.9514
263.18***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0028
-2.76***

0.998

Persistence

450d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0378
9.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0471
13.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9514
263.18***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0028
-2.76***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

450 days