V-Lab
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
19.62
decreased by 0.90
1 Week
20.99
increased by 0.47
1 Month
22.71
increased by 2.19
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 436 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~436 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0393 | 9.56*** |
| αARCH | 0.0471 | 13.55*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9513 | 262.50*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0029 | -2.89*** |
0.998
Persistence436d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0393 | 9.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0471 | 13.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9513 | 262.50*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0029 | -2.89*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
436 days
Other Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities