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Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

21.96

increased by 0.77

1 Week

21.28

increased by 0.09

1 Month

23.08

increased by 1.89

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bristol-Myers Squibb Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 442 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0388
9.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0472
13.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9513
262.42***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0029
-2.83***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

442 days