V-Lab
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
27.72
decreased by 0.54
1 Week
28.72
increased by 0.46
1 Month
28.18
decreased by 0.08
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 460 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0377 | 9.51*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0476 | 13.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9509 | 261.30*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0028 | -2.66*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
460 days
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