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Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, October 13th, 2026

1 Day

16.97

increased by 0.16

1 Week

17.38

increased by 0.57

1 Month

18.49

increased by 1.68

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 12, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/12/2024

to

10/12/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bristol-Myers Squibb Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 424 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~424 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0409
9.57***
αARCH0.0473
13.57***
βGARCH0.9511
262.08***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0030
-3.01***

0.998

Persistence

424d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0409
9.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0473
13.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9511
262.08***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0030
-3.01***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

424 days