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V-Lab

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

19.62

decreased by 0.90

1 Week

20.99

increased by 0.47

1 Month

22.71

increased by 2.19

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:15 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Bristol-Myers Squibb Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 436 trading days (~1.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~436 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0393
9.56***
αARCH0.0471
13.55***
βGARCH0.9513
262.50***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0029
-2.89***

0.998

Persistence

436d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0393
9.56***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0471
13.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9513
262.50***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0029
-2.89***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

436 days