Skip to main content
V-Lab

Cloudflare Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

1 Day

26.86

increased by 0.46

1 Week

24.76

decreased by 1.64

1 Month

24.64

decreased by 1.76

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 17, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Cloudflare Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 13, 2019 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 63 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0162
7.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0818
7.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9072
81.60***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0531
-2.62***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

63 days