V-Lab
Home Depot Inc/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
12.92
increased by 0.45
1 Week
12.28
decreased by 0.19
1 Month
10.54
decreased by 1.93
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 247 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0290 | 7.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0528 | 14.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9444 | 246.96*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0014 | -1.91* |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
247 days
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