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Home Depot Inc/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
9.20
decreased by 0.33
1 Week
9.79
increased by 0.26
1 Month
10.34
increased by 0.81
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 239 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~239 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0329 | 7.12*** |
| αARCH | 0.0526 | 14.06*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9445 | 247.51*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0015 | -2.00** |
0.997
Persistence239d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0329 | 7.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0526 | 14.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9445 | 247.51*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0015 | -2.00** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
239 days
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