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Home Depot Inc/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

8.47

increased by 0.20

1 Week

8.23

decreased by 0.04

1 Month

9.07

increased by 0.80

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 01:47 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Home Depot Inc/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 239 trading days (~0.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~239 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0311
7.10***
αARCH0.0526
14.07***
βGARCH0.9445
247.90***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0015
-2.05**

0.997

Persistence

239d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0311
7.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0526
14.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9445
247.90***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0015
-2.05**

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

239 days