V-Lab
Home Depot Inc/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
10.33
decreased by 0.28
1 Week
10.58
decreased by 0.03
1 Month
11.72
increased by 1.11
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 10:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 243 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0294 | 7.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0526 | 14.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9445 | 247.85*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0015 | -1.98** |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
243 days
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