V-Lab
Home Depot Inc/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, September 4th, 2026
1 Day
12.01
decreased by 0.46
1 Week
12.15
decreased by 0.32
1 Month
12.43
decreased by 0.04
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1357 trading days (~5.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 165% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0454 | 2.18** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0263 | 5.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9514 | 282.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0435 | 5.71*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1357 days
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