V-Lab
Home Depot Inc/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026
1 Day
11.72
decreased by 0.08
1 Week
11.82
increased by 0.02
1 Month
12.40
increased by 0.60
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 09:48 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1357 trading days (~5.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 165% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0454 | 2.18** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0263 | 5.81*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9514 | 282.65*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0435 | 5.71*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1357 days
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