Home Depot Inc/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026
1 Day
12.26
decreased by 0.19
1 Week
11.94
decreased by 0.51
1 Month
11.10
decreased by 1.35
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1351 trading days (~5.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 168% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0444 | 8.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0260 | 23.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9515 | 1,128.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0439 | 23.07*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
1351 days
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