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Home Depot Inc/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 22nd, 2026

1 Day

11.35

decreased by 0.10

1 Week

11.81

increased by 0.36

1 Month

12.08

increased by 0.63

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 21, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Home Depot Inc/The ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1351 trading days (~5.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 162% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~1351 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 162% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0450
2.16**
αARCH0.0266
5.85***
βGARCH0.9514
282.47***
γleverage0.0431
5.65***

0.999

Persistence

1351d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0450
2.16**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0266
5.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9514
282.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0431
5.65***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1351 days