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NVIDIA Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

0.71

increased by 0.01

1 Week

0.68

decreased by 0.02

1 Month

0.77

increased by 0.07

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NVIDIA Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 22, 1999 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 204% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0052
9.27***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0385
26.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9223
796.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0785
44.93***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-