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McDonald's Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

9.47

decreased by 0.33

1 Week

9.99

increased by 0.19

1 Month

10.37

increased by 0.57

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of McDonald's Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 1325 trading days (~5.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 92% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0308
6.93***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0283
23.96***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9582
1,219.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0259
12.01***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

1325 days