Procter & Gamble Co/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
12.22
1 Week
12.07
1 Month
10.95
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 20386 trading days (~80.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 166% more after negative returns
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0176 | 4.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0212 | 22.31*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9612 | 1,288.49*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0352 | 18.63*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
20386 days
Other Procter & Gamble Co/The Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities