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Procter & Gamble Co/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

9.54

increased by 0.18

1 Week

9.60

increased by 0.24

1 Month

9.85

increased by 0.49

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 21004 trading days (~83.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 168% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0177
4.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0209
22.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9616
1,297.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0350
18.65***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

21004 days