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Procter & Gamble Co/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

7.57

decreased by 0.22

1 Week

7.72

decreased by 0.07

1 Month

7.48

decreased by 0.31

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 21004 trading days (~83.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 165% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~21004 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 165% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0171
1.09
αARCH0.0210
5.60***
βGARCH0.9616
325.19***
γleverage0.0347
4.62***

1.000

Persistence

21004d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0171
1.09
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0210
5.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9616
325.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0347
4.62***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

21004 days