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Procter & Gamble Co/The Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

1 Day

12.22

increased by 0.10

1 Week

12.07

decreased by 0.05

1 Month

10.95

decreased by 1.17

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 20386 trading days (~80.9 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 166% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0176
4.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0212
22.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9612
1,288.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0352
18.63***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

20386 days