V-Lab
Procter & Gamble Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
7.87
decreased by 0.10
1 Week
7.96
decreased by 0.01
1 Month
8.62
increased by 0.65
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 10:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 641 trading days (~2.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0194 | 10.24*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0371 | 12.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9618 | 314.73*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0005 | -0.51 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
641 days
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