Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Procter & Gamble Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

7.46

decreased by 0.11

1 Week

7.55

decreased by 0.02

1 Month

7.31

decreased by 0.26

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 02:07 AM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 638 trading days (~2.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~638 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0193
10.24***
αARCH0.0371
12.14***
βGARCH0.9618
315.45***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0005
-0.54

0.999

Persistence

638d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0193
10.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0371
12.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9618
315.45***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0005
-0.54

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

638 days