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Procter & Gamble Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

9.20

unchanged at 0.00

1 Week

9.37

increased by 0.17

1 Month

9.61

increased by 0.41

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 651 trading days (~2.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0198
10.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0370
12.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9619
315.06***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0004
-0.40

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

651 days