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Procter & Gamble Co/The Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

7.87

decreased by 0.10

1 Week

7.96

decreased by 0.01

1 Month

8.62

increased by 0.65

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 10:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 641 trading days (~2.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0194
10.24***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0371
12.12***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9618
314.73***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0005
-0.51

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

641 days