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V-Lab

PubMatic Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

2,761.11

decreased by 202.28

1 Week

3,126.85

increased by 163.46

1 Month

3,309.41

increased by 346.02

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PubMatic Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2494
11.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0865
6.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8754
44.20***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0624
-3.27***

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days