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V-Lab

PubMatic Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

2,538.99

increased by 267.55

1 Week

2,308.21

increased by 36.77

1 Month

2,357.26

increased by 85.82

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PubMatic Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2020 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2285
11.51***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0901
6.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8712
42.98***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0729
-3.91***

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

18 days