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V-Lab

PubMatic Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

3,320.16

increased by 192.87

1 Week

3,152.35

increased by 25.06

1 Month

3,200.46

increased by 73.17

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 09:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PubMatic Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2020 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 18 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2392
11.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0864
6.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8758
44.13***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0657
-3.23***

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days