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PubMatic Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

1,905.59

increased by 506.40

1 Week

1,469.30

increased by 70.11

1 Month

1,535.07

increased by 135.88

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 10:06 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PubMatic Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2020 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so illiquidity mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 22 trading days.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: illiquidity reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1556
10.39***
αARCH0.0922
7.03***
βGARCH0.8764
47.82***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0984
-4.91***

0.969

Persistence

22d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1556
10.39***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0922
7.03***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8764
47.82***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0984
-4.91***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days