V-Lab
PubMatic Inc ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
3,016.99
1 Week
3,348.82
1 Month
3,489.66
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows asymmetric liquidity dynamics: illiquidity rises 45% more after negative returns than after positive returns of equal magnitude. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0771 | 7.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8835 | 142.76*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0350 | 2.35** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 7.45*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9988 | 630.17*** |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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