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PubMatic Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

3,302.85

increased by 265.88

1 Week

3,039.40

increased by 2.43

1 Month

3,035.19

decreased by 1.78

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 09:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PubMatic Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2020 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 461 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 64% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0587
10.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9210
358.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0377
3.20***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

461 days