V-Lab
PubMatic Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
2,632.53
decreased by 199.26
1 Week
2,943.99
increased by 112.20
1 Month
3,107.23
increased by 275.44
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 13, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 9, 2020 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 519 trading days (~2.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 64% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.55 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0590 | 10.73*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9206 | 359.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0380 | 3.23*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
519 days
Other PubMatic Inc Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities