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PubMatic Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, November 5th, 2026

1 Day

2,898.14

decreased by 133.50

1 Week

2,806.87

decreased by 224.77

1 Month

1,985.15

decreased by 1,046.49

Analysis last updated: Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 04:38 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/04/2024

to

11/04/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PubMatic Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2020 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 543 trading days (~2.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~543 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.37
αARCH0.0627
2.84***
βGARCH0.9154
87.73***
γleverage0.0412
0.87

0.999

Persistence

543d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.37
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0627
2.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9154
87.73***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0412
0.87

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

543 days