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PubMatic Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

1,766.34

increased by 595.38

1 Week

1,286.77

increased by 115.81

1 Month

1,403.64

increased by 232.68

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 10:06 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of PubMatic Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2020 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 369 trading days (~1.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~369 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.38
αARCH0.0631
2.85***
βGARCH0.9141
86.98***
γleverage0.0417
0.88

0.998

Persistence

369d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.38
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0631
2.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9141
86.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0417
0.88

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

369 days