Skip to main content
V-Lab

International Business Machines Corp Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Liquidity prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

12.48

decreased by 0.16

1 Week

12.85

increased by 0.21

1 Month

12.38

decreased by 0.26

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of International Business Machines Corp ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's liquidity

Liquidity Forecast

How liquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 465 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 288% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0667
8.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0169
16.09***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9573
1,217.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0487
24.29***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

465 days