Skip to main content
V-Lab

International Business Machines Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Tuesday, September 1st, 2026

1 Day

13.35

decreased by 0.50

1 Week

13.26

decreased by 0.59

1 Month

11.44

decreased by 2.41

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 09:49 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of International Business Machines Corp ILLIQ-MFMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.

μ

ILLIQ-MFMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0533
9.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8938
77.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0533
-3.10***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1260
1.47
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3520
11.97***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6403
21.74***

Persistence:

0.920

Half-life:

8 days