Ford Motor Co ILLIQ-MFMEM Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
22.74
1 Week
23.45
1 Month
25.18
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Illiquidity shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. This multi-frequency model splits illiquidity into a fast short-run component and a slow-moving long-run level that drifts over the sample rather than a constant baseline.
ILLIQ-MFMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0747 | 19.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9191 | 699.45*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0747 | -7.97*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0029 | 968.00*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.02 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9992 | 2,153.46*** |
Persistence:
0.956
Half-life:
16 days
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