Ford Motor Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026
1 Day
26.20
increased by 0.56
1 Week
26.12
increased by 0.48
1 Month
25.89
increased by 0.25
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 704 trading days (~2.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~704 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0755 | 6.64*** |
| αARCH | 0.0726 | 17.21*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9264 | 222.32*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0013 | -1.03 |
0.999
Persistence704d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0755 | 6.64*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0726 | 17.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9264 | 222.32*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.0013 | -1.03 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
704 days
Other Ford Motor Co Analyses
Other Spline ILLIQ Analyses on Equities