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Ford Motor Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026

1 Day

26.24

decreased by 1.31

1 Week

29.31

increased by 1.76

1 Month

25.16

decreased by 2.39

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 10:35 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ford Motor Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 711 trading days (~2.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0749
6.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0726
17.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9264
222.42***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0014
-1.05

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

711 days