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Ford Motor Co Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

26.14

increased by 0.51

1 Week

26.33

increased by 0.70

1 Month

27.23

increased by 1.60

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ford Motor Co ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 707 trading days (~2.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~707 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.0753
6.64***
αARCH0.0726
17.23***
βGARCH0.9265
222.71***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0013
-1.03

0.999

Persistence

707d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0753
6.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0726
17.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9265
222.71***
∑γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ1-0.0013
-1.03

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

707 days