V-Lab
Webtoon Entertainment Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
6,345.46
increased by 119.45
1 Week
6,512.22
increased by 286.21
1 Month
8,042.74
increased by 1,816.73
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:36 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 27, 2024 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 119 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~119 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.9828 | 6.81*** |
| αARCH | 0.1144 | 5.82*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8798 | 44.39*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.5713 | -1.20 |
0.994
Persistence119d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9828 | 6.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1144 | 5.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8798 | 44.39*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | -0.5713 | -1.20 |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
119 days
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