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LQR House Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

688,418.80

increased by 141,102.70

1 Week

549,639.60

increased by 2,323.50

1 Month

444,317.06

decreased by 102,999.04

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:38 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of LQR House Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 10, 2023 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 78 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~78 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4415
4.21***
αARCH0.2906
8.38***
βGARCH0.7006
19.81***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.1725
0.80

0.991

Persistence

78d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4415
4.21***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2906
8.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7006
19.81***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.1725
0.80

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

78 days