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LQR House Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

505,366.50

increased by 24,475.10

1 Week

539,075.42

increased by 58,184.02

1 Month

458,818.78

decreased by 22,072.62

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of LQR House Inc ILLIQ-SMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 10, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2840 trading days (~11.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

ILLIQ-SMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1572
4.03***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3287
8.74***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6710
17.86***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=2
γ1-4.3251
-3.42***
γ26.8863
3.85***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

2840 days