V-Lab
LQR House Inc Spline ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
505,366.50
increased by 24,475.10
1 Week
539,075.42
increased by 58,184.02
1 Month
458,818.78
decreased by 22,072.62
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 10, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 2840 trading days (~11.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
ILLIQ-SMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1572 | 4.03*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3287 | 8.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6710 | 17.86*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=2
| γ1 | -4.3251 | -3.42*** |
| γ2 | 6.8863 | 3.85*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
2840 days
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