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LQR House Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

160,976.90

decreased by 118,109.00

1 Week

285,861.50

increased by 6,775.60

1 Month

492,254.44

increased by 213,168.54

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 11:11 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of LQR House Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 10, 2023 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000 ≥ 1, shocks do not decay
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
0.00
αARCH0.4650
0.51
βGARCH0.5768
3.13***
γleverage-0.0836
-0.08

1.000

Persistence

-

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.00
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4650
0.51
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.5768
3.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0836
-0.08

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-