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LQR House Inc Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

328,625.20

increased by 40,444.20

1 Week

345,022.04

increased by 56,841.04

1 Month

343,365.36

increased by 55,184.36

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of LQR House Inc ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 10, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Estimated persistence of 1.000 is at or above 1 (non-stationary): illiquidity shocks do not decay and the long-run level is undefined, so long-horizon forecasts should be treated with caution.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 40% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
0.01
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2041
12.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7549
93.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0821
3.93***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

-