V-Lab
Ford Motor Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
25.80
decreased by 0.67
1 Week
25.33
decreased by 1.14
1 Month
23.72
decreased by 2.75
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 512 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 275% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1042 | 6.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0236 | 21.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9426 | 1,126.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0649 | 36.09*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
512 days
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