Ford Motor Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Liquidity prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
26.23
increased by 1.74
1 Week
26.37
increased by 1.88
1 Month
29.68
increased by 5.19
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's liquidityLiquidity Forecast
How liquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 504 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 272% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0973 | 6.20*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0239 | 21.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9423 | 1,117.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0649 | 35.57*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
504 days
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