V-Lab
Ford Motor Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, August 31st, 2026
1 Day
28.56
decreased by 0.78
1 Week
30.80
increased by 1.46
1 Month
27.18
decreased by 2.16
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 28, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 28, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 510 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 274% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1060 | 1.58 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0236 | 5.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9426 | 281.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0648 | 9.02*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
510 days
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