Ford Motor Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026
1 Day
29.03
decreased by 0.11
1 Week
30.13
increased by 0.99
1 Month
30.21
increased by 1.07
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 511 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 268% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~511 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 268% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1028 | 1.55 |
| αARCH | 0.0239 | 5.42*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9427 | 281.98*** |
| γleverage | 0.0641 | 8.91*** |
0.999
Persistence511d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1028 | 1.55 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0239 | 5.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9427 | 281.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0641 | 8.91*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
511 days
Other Ford Motor Co Analyses
Other Asymmetric ILLIQ Analyses on Equities