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Ford Motor Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis

Illiquidity prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

29.58

increased by 0.10

1 Week

30.14

increased by 0.66

1 Month

30.72

increased by 1.24

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 01:37 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ford Motor Co ILLIQ-AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Illiquidity Forecast

How illiquidity evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 509 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 271% more after negative returns

μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~509 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 271% more after negative returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1044
1.57
αARCH0.0238
5.39***
βGARCH0.9426
282.15***
γleverage0.0644
8.96***

0.999

Persistence

509d

Half-life
μ

ILLIQ-AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1044
1.57
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0238
5.39***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9426
282.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0644
8.96***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

509 days