V-Lab
Ford Motor Co Asymmetric ILLIQ Liquidity Analysis
Illiquidity prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
30.48
increased by 0.19
1 Week
30.59
increased by 0.30
1 Month
29.41
decreased by 0.88
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 11:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidityIlliquidity Forecast
How illiquidity evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.999, illiquidity shocks have a half-life of 508 trading days (~2.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: Illiquidity rises 274% more after negative returns
μ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.999, shock half-life ~508 daysAsymmetry: Illiquidity rises 274% more after negative returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1061 | 1.58 |
| αARCH | 0.0236 | 5.36*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9427 | 282.15*** |
| γleverage | 0.0647 | 9.01*** |
0.999
Persistence508d
Half-lifeμ
ILLIQ-AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1061 | 1.58 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0236 | 5.36*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9427 | 282.15*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0647 | 9.01*** |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
508 days
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